Essington Institute

About

We are ready to fill the holes in Australia’s readiness.

The Essington Institute is an Australian not-for-profit focused on making Australia prepared for crisis and conflict. We produce free plans, resources, and practical guidance that government, industries and households can act on. In the future, we will also provide paid services to the private sector and to government, relating to wargaming crisis and conflict for businesses, and research around civil preparedness and crisis response by local, state and federal governments.

Why now

The dire circumstances Australia faces extend well beyond geopolitical strategy.

It is a bipartisan view in Australia, and according to the Australian National University’s ‘No Worries?’ study a widely held view by the general public, that Australia faces the most dire strategic circumstances since the Second World War.

What is unspoken, but reflected in the surveyed attitudes of members of the public, is that this may well be an understatement. Fuel exceeds three dollars per litre in Canberra. Economic productivity, inflation and employment are all teetering on the edge of crisis. The climate worsens each year. Ambitious autocratic powers both near and far from our shores are dividing us, through coercion, disinformation and in some cases terrorism. Technology is advancing faster than the average person, or even our leaders, can keep up with. The problems are compounding, and the serious ones include, but extend well beyond, the ambitions of great powers in our region.

It is a concerning and uncertain time for us all. The Essington Institute has been founded for the public to begin directly engaging with what it means to prepare Australia. Together, we will answer questions about how we can ensure safety, prosperity, and the right to choose our own future for all Australians.

What Essington is, and is not

What Essington is

An action tank
The Institute produces plans, resources, and practical guidance that government, industry, and households can act on.
A not-for-profit
The Institute exists to serve the public good.
Non-partisan
All parties across the spectrum have relevant focus areas that we can work with them on, so long as they support strengthening democratic institutions and put Australia first.
Realistic
Every claim is sourced or cut. The Institute takes a pessimistic view of Australia’s readiness because the evidence demands it.
Filling a gap
Australia is not a well prepared nation, and it does not yet have the apparatus in place to fix this. The Institute is building that apparatus.

What Essington is not

A think tank
The Institute produces plans and practical guidance, not academic papers.
A lobby group
The Institute advocates for national preparedness, not for any industry, company, or contract.
Apolitical
The Institute holds firm views on national readiness.
Isolationist
A more self-sufficient Australia is a better trading partner and a better ally, not a closed country.
A militia
Household preparedness is grounded in the same logic that governments in Sweden, Finland, and Singapore use to advise their populations. We do not think ‘preparing’ is a dirty word.

Three pillars

The Essington Institute thinks about civil preparedness and national readiness through three main lenses.

Every focus area is thought about from these lenses, because we must take a holistic view to achieve preparedness.

Strategic

This lens relates to national capacity during times of crisis and conflict. It covers things like the plans, stockpiles and coordination centres that Australia needs to keep running when things get tough. This pillar also covers the relationship between the Institute and the Commonwealth — advocating for preparedness policy, a dedicated civil contingencies agency, looking at the metrics that show how unready Australia is, and working on plans to submit to the government so that it can adopt them more quickly than it could if it wrote them from scratch after years of inquiry.

Industry

This lens relates to strengthening, growing, and readying Australia’s manufacturing base for times of crisis and conflict. The manufacturing base has been greatly neglected over the last 50 years, and without a healthy industrial base, we are industrially and economically vulnerable. Through this lens, we engage with industry and its thoughts on how to be better prepared, as well as providing free guidance, as well as specialist services to wargame their operations, stress-test their supply chains, and learn from industries in more prepared nations.

Household

This lens is perhaps the most important of all — the Essington Institute provides both a top-down approach through its strategic lens, and a bottom-up approach through its household lens. The preparedness of every household for crisis and conflict is the life support system of the nation in uncertain times. We help households ask thought-provoking questions that may currently have hard answers — and we provide guides to turn those hard answers into everyday tasks that leave every household more ready than it was before.

Eight focus areas

Each focus area is held by one board member.

We will provide guidance to households, to businesses, and to government. Each of these focus areas will be led by an expert in that domain, and advised by Australia’s best.

  • Defence

    Australia depends on its military to protect the continent, and the ADF is also routinely called on for domestic emergencies — bushfires, the pandemic, floods — three domestic deployments in five years. But air and missile defence has significant gaps, munitions stockpiles and domestic production cannot sustain a prolonged conflict, and the defence industrial base lacks the sovereign manufacturing depth to surge under crisis.

    This focus area therefore covers military preparedness and force capacity, air and missile defence, munitions stockpiling and production, sovereign manufacturing of platforms and weapons systems, and the case for a civilian body that takes domestic emergency work off the ADF.

  • National Security

    Comparable nations maintain civil defence personnel, shelter programmes, and standardised warning systems to protect their populations. But Australia fields a fraction of the civil defence personnel, has no national shelter programme — neither hardened nor designated — no standardised warning system, and no agency responsible for building any of these.

    This focus area therefore covers civil defence and emergency coordination, shelter programmes, counter-terrorism, border security, and the case for a dedicated civil preparedness agency that takes this work off the ADF and puts it where it belongs.

  • Sovereignty and National Continuity

    A sovereign nation must be able to govern itself under crisis, make what it needs, and direct its own industry. But Australia’s manufacturing share of GDP sits at roughly five per cent — the only developed nations lower are two small European tax havens. Foreign interests own critical assets including mines, ports, agricultural land, and data centres, and much of what a crisis would demand can no longer be built here.

    No agency holds a whole-of-nation preparedness ledger, no one publishes how ready the country is, and no one is answerable for closing the gaps.

    This focus area therefore covers government continuity under crisis, foreign interference and espionage, sovereign manufacturing capacity, commandability of Australian industry, critical minerals processing, and the protection of sensitive research and intellectual property in universities.

  • Economic and Supply Security

    Australia is one of the world’s great wheat exporters, and it has committed under treaty to hold strategic fuel reserves. But it holds not a single day of grain in a national reserve, and as fuel passes three dollars per litre, Australia is in its fourteenth year of non-compliance with its fuel stockpiling obligations. Single roads serve entire towns, single ports handle the majority of a state’s freight, and no legislation exists for wartime-scale resource allocation or rationing.

    This focus area therefore covers strategic reserves of fuel, grain, water, and medical supplies; energy grid resilience; transport and logistics chokepoints; last-mile distribution and cold chain resilience; critical minerals stockpiling and onshore processing; trade concentration risk; economic mobilisation frameworks; and fiscal, workforce, currency, and insurance resilience under sustained pressure.

  • Technology

    Australia depends on digital and space systems for communications, navigation, weather, surveillance, and financial services, and AI is transforming both the threat landscape and the tools available to defend against it. But state-sponsored cyber operations target critical infrastructure, quantum computing threatens current encryption, and counter-space capabilities put satellite systems at risk.

    This focus area therefore covers AI-enabled attacks, deepfake fraud, and sovereign AI capability; cyber security of critical systems; quantum risks to encryption; space and satellite resilience; sovereign technology development; and the technical tools to detect and counter disinformation, as distinct from the public literacy dimension in Social Resilience.

  • Health and Medical

    Australia’s hospital beds per thousand people sit more than ten per cent below the OECD average, and the system is built for an ordinary week. But the pandemic response became the largest domestic military operation in the country’s history, the contents of the National Medical Stockpile have not been published in over a decade, and active ingredient manufacturing for most medicines is concentrated offshore.

    This focus area therefore covers hospital surge capacity, pharmaceutical supply chains, domestic vaccine and medical equipment manufacturing, pandemic preparedness, blood supply under crisis, mass casualty response beyond a single city, and mental health system capacity under sustained pressure.

  • Environmental Security

    Australia faces bushfires, cyclones, floods, and droughts with increasing severity and frequency, and its agricultural output depends on soil, water, and ecosystems already under stress. But infrastructure hardening lags, biosecurity threats to agriculture are growing, and ecosystem decline is cascading into fisheries, food production, and livability.

    This focus area therefore covers climate change adaptation, natural disaster preparedness, biosecurity and introduced species, long-term agricultural viability, and the ecological dimension of water security including river health, groundwater depletion, and salinity.

  • Social Resilience

    Most Australians say they want to contribute to the country’s security, and local and neighbourhood cohesion remains strong. But national belonging is in decline, volunteering rates have fallen significantly over the past six years with an ageing volunteer base, and most people who want to help do not know how. No agency tracks the whole picture.

    This focus area therefore covers social cohesion, community trust and civic responsibility, disinformation resilience and media literacy (the public dimension; technical countermeasures sit in Technology), violent extremism and radicalisation, volunteering and community mutual aid, immigration and integration infrastructure, and population displacement planning.

Positions

The Essington Institute is non-partisan but not apolitical.

All parties across the spectrum, so long as they support strengthening democratic institutions and put Australia first, have relevant focus areas that we can work with them on. All of them have roles to play in strengthening Australia.

The situation

National readiness
Australia is embarrassingly unready for crisis and conflict. This is because we are living in unprecedented times, and national readiness has never been something Australia has had to focus on. It is not because Australians do not care or are ignorant.
Migration
Immigration policy is not our remit. However, migration rates must match available infrastructure and the rate of infrastructure growth. Currently they do not. We therefore believe that migration, unless cut, is making Australia less ready for crisis.
Housing
An insufficient housing supply is disenfranchising young people, which is significantly detrimental to national cohesion. Young people disaffected by this have a reduced incentive to defend a nation that has given them very little.
Climate change
Climate change is destabilising the security of all nations, and bad actors are ready to take advantage of this.
Authoritarian resurgence
Autocratic governments are making an alarming return to power due to mounting socioeconomic problems globally, and this is destabilising the globe.
Global order
The old unipolar order, with a focus on international law and a rules-based order led by the United States, is over. We are now entering a multipolar world where autocracies are empowered.
Technology
Technology is now reaching a point where it is likely to destabilise the global economy, and potentially the already fragile global political status quo.

Five-year vision

If the Essington Institute succeeds, within five years Australia will look measurably different.

Institutional change

  • A Department of Civil Contingencies and National Readiness exists, separate to the Department of Defence and the Department of Home Affairs. It publishes a national readiness ledger — how many days of fuel, grain, and medicine the country holds, updated regularly and available to the public.
  • Legislation for economic mobilisation, rationing, and emergency resource allocation has been reviewed and updated.
  • A national cyber reserve maintained by the Australian Signals Directorate, decoupled from the ADF and modelled on Estonia’s Cyber Defence League, has been established.

Physical preparedness

  • Strategic reserves of fuel and grain are being built toward treaty obligations and beyond.
  • A national shelter programme has been completed in its first phase: existing underground infrastructure such as train stations has been upgraded for dual use as shelters, and the first dedicated shelters are being built.
  • Civil defence personnel numbers are growing, with an opt-in national service pathway feeding them.
  • Sovereign manufacturing capacity in critical sectors has measurably increased from its current base of roughly five per cent of GDP.

Social and household preparedness

  • The government advises households to maintain an emergency supply of goods, as Sweden, Finland, and Singapore do.
  • Media literacy, source verification, and critical thinking are being taught in Australian schools as part of the national curriculum.
  • Businesses are stress-testing their supply chains against disruption scenarios as standard practice.

The Institute is forming

Australia is not a well prepared nation, and it does not yet have the apparatus in place to fix this.

The Institute is building that apparatus.